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December 3rd, 2008 - By Chris Nelder
Energy and Capital editor Chris Nelder looks at peak oil as a "black swan" event, and sees a profit opportunity in the disconnect between the conventional wisdom of the market and the reality of energy supply...
It seems like everyone but me has read Nassim Taleb's book, The Black Swan. The concept of unforeseen, highly unlikely events has wormed its way into nearly every conversation lately. (The title is a reference to the fact that all swans were assumed to be white until black swans were discovered in Australia.)
Aside from the fact that I have a too-long reading list, perhaps I haven't read it because it's something about which I've already thought altogether too much. I seem to be one of those people who are predisposed to look for the outlier events, the exceptions to the rules.
Peak oil is a classic case of a black swan event...
Today, energy is at a global crossroads. The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates a minimum of $20 trillion needs to be invested over the next 25 years to meet surging energy demand and to offset the declining reserves of the world's major oil fields.
There is, however, a solution to the looming energy crisis--a solution that will encompass numerous energy technologies and practices. The blueprint for success will not only include alternative and renewable energy, but the economic harvesting of remaining and unconventional oil sources as well.
Within that blueprint for renewable energy and sustainable energy use lies the most profitable investments this century has to offer. These are the energy stocks and investment strategies that fully exploit the "New Energy Economy." And Energy and Capital's editors and researchers bring them to market each and every day.
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Energy & Capital editor Nick Hodge discusses future sources of energy by looking at the current energy picture through the lens of a cubic mile of oil. » Read more
Energy and Capital editor Keith Kohl offers to help you better understand peak oil with the latest IEA report » Read more
Energy & Capital editor Chris Nelder argues that instead of stepping backward to bail out the Big Three automakers, we should step forward to the next generation of auto makers. » Read more
Energy & Capital editor Nick Hodge discusses five solar companies' stocks that are must-owns during these turbulent market times. » Read more
Help spread the word on just how fast the world's energy consumption is increasing, as we spiral towards Peak Oil.
Display the Peak Oil Clock on your web site or blog.It's finally happening...
Oil execs across the globe are coming clean. And their confessions are worth billions to investors like you and me.
Big Oil has actually been on the green bandwagon for almost a decade now... quietly funneling billions of dollars into the alternative energy sector.
In fact, Shell, BP, Conoco-Phillips, and Chevron have reported spending as much as $3.5 billion in recent years on solar, wind, biofuels, and other renewable energy projects.
They know what's coming, and they're preparing to do business in a new energy economy. You should be too! Check out this full report on Big Oil's $20 trillion secret.